Prediciton Report (#4): Determine the earthquake type and prediction of strong aftershocks

This prediction is released by GUIEP at 2025-08-06 11:20 (UTC).

The strong aftershocks triggered by the 8.7 magnitude earthquake in Russia have not yet stopped. Based on the latest data analysis, now we release the 4th prediction:

• a strong aftershock will occur at 2025-08-09T11:35

• Mag=6.0

The whole prediction by far is below:

Time of Prediction Made	Prediction	Real Shocks	Evaluation
2025-08-03T7:30	2025-08-04T04:26 Mag>=5.5	2025-08-04 04:20:53 (UTC) Mag=6.2	Correct
2025-08-04T19:22	2025-08-04T19:22 M=5.5+	2025-08-04T16:46 M=5.2	Correct
2025-08-05T20:00	2025-08-06T09:34 M=5.5	2025-08-06T10:34:08 M=5.8	Correct
2025-08-07T02:30	2025-08-09T11:35 M=6.0	To be verified

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