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Determine the earthquake type and prediction of strong aftershocks

Updated: Aug 3

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M 8.8 - 2025 Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia

Earthquake Time: 2025-07-29 23:24:52 (UTC)

Location:52.512°N 160.324°E

Depth: 35.0km

--------------------Recorded by USGS


This prediction is released by GUIEP at 2025-08-03 20:00 (UTC).


Regarding to the earthquake (M8.8 in Kamchatka Peninsula Russia, 2025-07-29 23:24:52UTC), our calculations yield two conclusions:

  1. Earthquake type: Mainshock-aftershock type. This means no more earthquakes of magnitude 8.8 or higher will occur in this area in the next few months.

  2. Strong-aftershock Prediction: From now (2025-08-03 20:00 UTC), the next strong aftershock greater than magnitude 5.5 but less than magnitude 5.9 will occur around 4:23 AM on August 4, 2025. If this does not occur, a strong-aftershock of magnitude 6 or higher will occur around 11PM on the 4th.



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W-T Method
W-T Method


S-T Method
S-T Method


 

GUIEP is the non-profit research institute focusing on disaster earthquake prediction. Please feel free to contact us for any question via sending email to tech@guiep.org or chat with us online.




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