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Prediction: 4th Release for M7 Earthquake at Cape Mendocino CA (2024-12-05 18:44:21UTC)

  • Writer: GUIEP
    GUIEP
  • Dec 15, 2024
  • 1 min read

Updated: Dec 16, 2024


Prediction Release ID: PR_2024.12.15_CALIFORNIA.M7.2024.12.05_R4

Release time: 2024.12.15T22:00:00 (UTC)


Continue with this Release #4 regarding the Earthquake Prediction on M7.0 in California Cape Mendocino at 2024-12-05, 18:44:21 (UTC), Release No.3 (Prediction Release ID: PR_2024.12.07_CALIFORNIA.M7.2024.12.05_R3) has been confirmed to be correct because there was correct.


Now, we predict there will be a Strong-Aftershock with Ms=4.0+ occuring in Cape Mendocino, California at around 2024-12-20T17:43 (UTC). If this won't happen, the previous strong-aftershock will be the last strong-aftershock.


The detial is following:

PR_2024.12.15_CALIFORNIA.M7.2023.12.05_R4
PR_2024.12.15_CALIFORNIA.M7.2023.12.05_R4

GUIEP is the non-profit research institute focusing on disaster earthquake prediction. Please feel free to contact us for any question via sending email to tech@guiep.org or chat with us online.


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GUIEP
GUIEP
Dec 26, 2024

Experts say the junction is where the North American, Pacific and Gorda tectonic plates rub against each other. The Geological Society of America said in a Facebook post that it is suspected that the earthquake occurred when two plates suddenly slid past each other, a phenomenon called a strike-slip fault.

Earthquakes are common in the area around the Mendocino Triple Junction... Over the past century, there have been at least 40 earthquakes of magnitude 6 or greater within 155 miles of the epicenter, including five earthquakes of magnitude 7 or greater.

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